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March 17, 2009

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Erl Happ

Your message is comprehensive, accurate, well presented and timely. Let us hope that it begins to be heard soon.

As for the entirely natural causes of climatic variation over the span of a human lifetime and a little longer I have some ideas that I present at http://climatechange1.wordpress.com

Global Warming

Combating climate change may not be a question of who will carry the burden but could instead be a rush for the benefits, according to new economic modeling presented at “Climate Change: Global Risks, Challenges & Decisions” hosted by the University of Copenhagen.

Contrary to current cost models for lowering greenhouse gas emissions and fighting climate change, a group of researchers from the University of Cambridge conclude that even very stringent reductions of can create a macroeconomic benefit, if governments go about it the right way.

“Where many current calculations get it wrong is in the assumption that more stringent measures will necessarily raise the overall cost, especially when there is substantial unemployment and underuse of capacity as there is today”, explains Terry Barker, Director of Cambridge Centre for Climate Change Mitigation Research (4CMR), Department of Land Economy, University of Cambridge and a member of the Scientific Steering Committee of the Congress.

EclectEcon

Even if those concerned about anthropo- global change are correct, it seems to me like ignorance or wishful thinking or both to believe it is possible to implement any policy to reduce CO2 emissions without increasing costs in the short run (the next five - twenty years). Competition in the marketplace has reduced costs to their minimum now, using current technologies; to require firms and individuals to adopt a different technology, one that they have not freely chosen now, will surely make costs rise and/or consumer satisfaction fall (which would also be a cost).

Ironman

And then, there's an increasingly likelihood that anthropogenic global warming is the current science generation's equivalent of the Piltdown Man hoax:

http://www.making-ripples.com/2009/03/anthropogenic-global-warming-a-modern-piltdown-man-hoax.html

With any luck, it won't take 40 years for global warming to unravel, although given the incentives of those pushing it, and because it provides exactly what those pushing it are seeking, it very well could. Here's more about the Piltdown Man:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piltdown_Man

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