7 Reasons Apple is More Doomed Than You Think
I have little knowledge in this area, so take the rest of this in that vein. As you know, I'm upset with Apple because they didn't have the good sense to come out with a smartphone the size of the Galaxy S3 (or the rumoured slightly larger S4). And I have seen nothing in the rumour mill indicating that they will move in that direction soon.
They will... eventually. But by then, Apple will be playing catch-up to Samsung and HTC. I still haven't adjusted to my Samsung Note2 and Android, but size is important!
So knowing that's my only take on Apple (other than the fact that I recently bought a MacBook Pro instead of and Window-based machine), you may not want to pay too much attention to these forecasts.
I looked at the price of Apple stock earlier today. It was about $403US, up $5 for the day, but down about 28% from its peak. My guess (forecast or prediction is really too strong, despite my having used "forecasts" in the previous paragraph) is that in two years Apple stock will sell for $210 and in five years it will sell for $125.
If I had any confidence in these guesses, I would short the socks off Apple. But given my lack of confidence in these guesses, and given my generally strong risk aversion, I'll settle for just making the guesses public.