So far in the playoffs my record is 2-5-1 against the odds (about as good as the Sunderland Black Cats in the EPL this year, who are 4W, 12L, and 6D).
New England at Denver; Spread says Denver by 5.5. Last week the NE Economists did better than expected and Denver was worse than expected. Take NE plus the points.
San Francisco at Seattle; Spread says Seattle by 3.5. Seattle has looked good throughout the season, but San Francisco has had two clear wins on the road during the playoffs. Is SF on a roll, or will they be worn out and overwhelmed in the Seattle stadium? Take SF plus the points.
Actually, now that I think about it, I've just taken the visitors in both games to win or to lose less than would be predicted by the spread. I think I'm picking with my heart.